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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Racing Santander v Valencia

 LaLigaSun 11 Oct 19:00 UTCEl Sardineros

Racing Santander v Valencia tips

RACRacing SantanderLLWLW
VS
VALValenciaLWLLL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

Goals look likely here because both defences struggle to keep clean sheets in recent weeks. Racing Santander and Valencia both arrive with losing runs that expose real defensive frailties.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Racing Santander enters this fixture at El Sardineros having lost three of their last five matches with leaks at the back.
  • Valencia makes the journey having suffered four defeats in their last five outings while conceding multiple goals regularly.
  • The betting market lists over 2.5 goals at an attractive price of 1.69 given the defensive vulnerabilities of both squads.
Why it might not
  • Racing Santander managed just two wins in their last five attempts which shows they can sometimes struggle to finish chances.
  • Valencia failed to find any consistent scoring touch during a difficult run that yielded four defeats from five matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides concede far too often in their recent matches to suggest a clean sheet is coming.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Racing Santander the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals look likely here because both defences struggle to keep clean sheets in recent weeks. Racing Santander and Valencia both arrive with losing runs that expose real defensive frailties.

Form and momentum

Racing Santander come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Valencia come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for RAC, 27% for the draw and 31% for VAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Racing Santander, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Racing Santander managed just two wins in their last five attempts which shows they can sometimes struggle to finish chances.
  • Valencia failed to find any consistent scoring touch during a difficult run that yielded four defeats from five matches.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRAC +120
RAC2.20draw3.50VAL3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RACRacing Santander7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in21
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLW
VALValencia40 games on record
Won12
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored44and let in60
  • On the road6 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Racing vs Valencia draw?

Goals look likely here because both defences struggle to keep clean sheets in recent weeks. Racing Santander and Valencia both arrive with losing runs that expose real defensive frailties. The doubt i...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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