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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Racing Club v Independiente

 Liga ProfesionalSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTCPresidente Perón (Cilindro de Avellaneda)

Racing Club v Independiente tips

RACRacing ClubWLLLD
VS
INDIndependienteWDWLD
The model callRacing ClubMatch result2.10★★★★1 star

Racing Club play at home against Independiente and the price of 2.10 offers decent value despite their poor run. Both sides struggle for consistency which makes this a tricky derby to call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$21
Profit$11
Why it might land
  • Racing Club are priced at 2.10 to win this home fixture which gives us a fair price for the hosts.
  • Racing Club managed a win in their most recent fixture to break a tough losing streak.
  • Independiente enter this match with mixed recent form showing two draws and a defeat in five games.
Why it might not
  • Racing Club suffered three consecutive defeats right before their latest win which leaves serious doubts over their form.
  • Independiente showed they can be hard to beat by taking two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent low scoring results for both sides suggest we might not see goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed scoring form in their recent results which points towards a tight game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Racing Club the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Racing Club, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Racing Club play at home against Independiente and the price of 2.10 offers decent value despite their poor run. Both sides struggle for consistency which makes this a tricky derby to call.

Form and momentum

Racing Club come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Independiente come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for RAC, 30% for the draw and 26% for IND once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Racing Club, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Racing Club suffered three consecutive defeats right before their latest win which leaves serious doubts over their form.
  • Independiente showed they can be hard to beat by taking two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
The bottom line

We back Racing Club for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRAC +110
RAC2.10draw3.15IND3.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RACRacing Club7 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored8and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLD
INDIndependiente7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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