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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Quilmes v San Martín (Tucumán)

 Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes v San Martín (Tucumán) tips

QUIQuilmesWLWLL
VS
SANSan Martín (Tucumán)DLWLD
The model callQuilmesMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Quilmes play at home and hold a price of 2.00 against San Martin Tucuman. Both sides show mixed recent form with three losses in their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Quilmes return to their home ground at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes with a price of 2.00 available on the outright win market.
  • The hosts grabbed a recent win in their last five matches to show they can still find victory despite their inconsistent run of results.
  • San Martin Tucuman also struggle for consistency after recording two draws and two losses alongside a single win in their last five games.
Why it might not
  • Quilmes enter this fixture having lost two of their most recent matches which makes trusting a 2.00 price a risky proposition.
  • San Martin Tucuman managed to pick up a draw in their latest outing and could prove stubborn opponents despite their shaky form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses with several blanks in their recent five match runs.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a prolific scoring pattern in their recent results to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Quilmes the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Quilmes, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Quilmes play at home and hold a price of 2.00 against San Martin Tucuman. Both sides show mixed recent form with three losses in their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Quilmes come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

San Martín (Tucumán) come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for QUI, 30% for the draw and 25% for SAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Quilmes, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Quilmes enter this fixture having lost two of their most recent matches which makes trusting a 2.00 price a risky proposition.
  • San Martin Tucuman managed to pick up a draw in their latest outing and could prove stubborn opponents despite their shaky form.
The bottom line

We back Quilmes for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsQUI +100
QUI2.00draw3.05SAN3.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

QUIQuilmes6 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored3and let in6
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL
SANSan Martín (Tucumán)6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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