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Betting tips › Championship ›  Queens Park Rangers v Burnley

 ChampionshipTue 3 Nov 19:45 UTCMATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park Rangers v Burnley tips

QPRQueens Park RangersDDDLW
VS
BURBurnleyDLDLD
The model callOver 2.75Total goals1.83★★★★2 stars

Queens Park Rangers play Burnley at MATRADE Loftus Road on Tuesday night with both sides desperate for a spark. The recent run of draws suggests goals are a sensible angle here.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Queens Park Rangers come into this fixture after seeing three draws followed by a loss and a win in their last five outings.
  • Burnley arrive with a poor run of form featuring three draws and two losses from their most recent five matches played.
  • The betting market lists over 2.75 total goals at a generous price of 1.82 which gives us plenty of room to work with.
Why it might not
  • Burnley have struggled to find consistency lately with two losses and three draws showing they lack a clinical edge.
  • Queens Park Rangers recorded three consecutive draws recently which proves they often struggle to turn dominant spells into wins.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

The recent draw heavy form for both clubs points towards defensive lapses on the night.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Queens Park Rangers the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.75, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Queens Park Rangers play Burnley at MATRADE Loftus Road on Tuesday night with both sides desperate for a spark. The recent run of draws suggests goals are a sensible angle here.

Form and momentum

Queens Park Rangers come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for QPR, 26% for the draw and 29% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Queens Park Rangers, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Burnley have struggled to find consistency lately with two losses and three draws showing they lack a clinical edge.
  • Queens Park Rangers recorded three consecutive draws recently which proves they often struggle to turn dominant spells into wins.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.75 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
QPR2.01draw3.50BUR3.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

QPRQueens Park Rangers40 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost14
  • Scored54and let in54
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDLW
BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn14
Lost23
  • Scored40and let in77
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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