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Betting tips › Championship ›  Portsmouth v Stoke City

 ChampionshipSat 7 Nov 12:30 UTCFratton Park

Portsmouth v Stoke City tips

PORPortsmouthDDWLL
VS
STKStoke CityWWDWW
The model callStoke CityMatch result3.15★★★★2 stars

Stoke come here in fine form while Portsmouth are struggling to pick up wins. The away price of 3.15 looks fair for a side putting together a strong run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$63
Profit$43
Why it might land
  • Stoke arrive at Fratton Park having put together an impressive recent run of form that includes four wins from their last five matches.
  • Portsmouth are struggling for consistency at the moment having picked up just two points from their most recent five league outings.
  • Stoke can be backed at a decent price of 3.15 to secure another victory on the road against opponents who are sliding down the table.
Why it might not
  • Stoke might find it tough to break down a home side that will be desperate to turn their recent defeats around in front of their own fans.
  • Portsmouth managed a draw in one of their recent outings which shows they can frustrate teams when they set up to defend properly.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Stoke are scoring regularly in their matches while Portsmouth will want to get on the scoresheet at home.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither defence looks entirely secure based on recent matches so we might see a few goals go in.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Portsmouth the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Stoke City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Stoke come here in fine form while Portsmouth are struggling to pick up wins. The away price of 3.15 looks fair for a side putting together a strong run.

Form and momentum

Portsmouth come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Stoke City come in patchy, winning 35% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for POR, 29% for the draw and 30% for STK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Portsmouth, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings STK have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Stoke might find it tough to break down a home side that will be desperate to turn their recent defeats around in front of their own fans.
  • Portsmouth managed a draw in one of their recent outings which shows they can frustrate teams when they set up to defend properly.
The bottom line

We back Stoke City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
POR2.25draw3.25STK3.00
SourceDraftKingsPOR +135
POR2.35draw3.25STK3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PORPortsmouth40 games on record
Won11
Drawn11
Lost18
  • Scored43and let in58
  • At home6 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWLL
STKStoke City40 games on record
Won14
Drawn8
Lost18
  • Scored50and let in52
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0POR wins
0drawn
1STK wins
  • Portsmouth 0 : 1 Stoke City25 Oct 2025 · Championship

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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