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Betting tips › Championship ›  Portsmouth v Millwall

 ChampionshipSat 24 Oct 11:30 UTCFratton Park

Portsmouth v Millwall tips

PORPortsmouthDDWLL
VS
MILMillwallDDLLW
The model callPortsmouthMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Portsmouth play at Fratton Park against Millwall in a match where both sides bring shaky form into the fixture. Portsmouth are priced at 2.40 to win which makes them slight favourites despite recent losses.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • Portsmouth get home advantage at Fratton Park for this Saturday fixture and have the backing of the odds at 2.40 to take all three points.
  • Portsmouth recently picked up a win in their last five matches while Millwall have suffered two defeats during their own five match sequence.
  • The bookmakers make Portsmouth the market favourites with a price of 2.40 compared to Millwall who are out at 3.00 to win on the road.
Why it might not
  • Portsmouth enter this fixture on the back of two straight defeats which leaves real doubts about their ability to secure a victory.
  • Portsmouth have also drawn two of their last five matches which shows they can easily drop points against visiting teams.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent results for both clubs suggest at least one of them might struggle to find the back of the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown inconsistent scoring form recently which points towards a low scoring affair at Fratton Park.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Portsmouth the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Portsmouth, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Portsmouth play at Fratton Park against Millwall in a match where both sides bring shaky form into the fixture. Portsmouth are priced at 2.40 to win which makes them slight favourites despite recent losses.

Form and momentum

Portsmouth come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Millwall come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for POR, 28% for the draw and 32% for MIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings POR hold the edge with 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Portsmouth enter this fixture on the back of two straight defeats which leaves real doubts about their ability to secure a victory.
  • Portsmouth have also drawn two of their last five matches which shows they can easily drop points against visiting teams.
The bottom line

We back Portsmouth for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
POR2.25draw3.25MIL2.85
SourceDraftKingsPOR +140
POR2.40draw3.45MIL3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PORPortsmouth40 games on record
Won11
Drawn11
Lost18
  • Scored43and let in58
  • At home6 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWLL
MILMillwall40 games on record
Won18
Drawn9
Lost13
  • Scored56and let in50
  • On the road9 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

2POR wins
0drawn
0MIL wins
  • Millwall 1 : 3 Portsmouth21 Feb 2026 · Championship
  • Portsmouth 3 : 1 Millwall22 Nov 2025 · Championship

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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