Betting tips › League Two › Port Vale v Chesterfield
League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCVale ParkPort Vale v Chesterfield tips
Port ValeWLWLL
ChesterfieldLWWDDChesterfield arrive in better shape with two wins and two draws from their last five matches. Port Vale keep trading wins for losses which makes them hard to trust at home.
- Chesterfield bring solid momentum into this fixture after putting together an unbeaten run of two wins and two draws in their recent five matches.
- Port Vale have struggled for any consistency lately and their erratic form shows a sequence of three losses alongside just two victories in their last five outings.
- Chesterfield look a fair price at 2.40 to take all three points considering their opponents keep stumbling through a mixed set of results week after week.
- Port Vale have the home advantage at Vale Park and they are fully capable of bouncing back from their recent defeats with a strong performance here.
- Chesterfield lost their most recent match and that sudden dip in form could mean they struggle to recapture their previous winning momentum on the road.
Both sides have been trading mixed results recently which suggests defensive lapses are likely to happen at both ends of the pitch.
We have no prices or goal line data for the over and under market so guessing the goal count is just a shot in the dark.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Chesterfield the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Chesterfield, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Chesterfield arrive in better shape with two wins and two draws from their last five matches. Port Vale keep trading wins for losses which makes them hard to trust at home.
Port Vale come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Chesterfield come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 34% for PTV, 27% for the draw and 39% for CHES once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Port Vale have the home advantage at Vale Park and they are fully capable of bouncing back from their recent defeats with a strong performance here.
- Chesterfield lost their most recent match and that sudden dip in form could mean they struggle to recapture their previous winning momentum on the road.
We back Chesterfield for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Port Vale40 games on record- Scored31and let in54
- At home6 winsfrom20
- Right now1 win in a row
Chesterfield8 games on record- Scored11and let in10
- On the road2 winsfrom4
- Right now1 loss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.