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Betting tips › NHL ›  Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins

 NHLSat 3 Oct 23:00 UTCPPG Paints Arena

Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins tips

MTLMontreal CanadiensWLWWW
VS
PITPittsburgh PenguinsWLLW
The model callOver 6.5Total goals2.10★★★★2 stars

Montreal arrive with a strong winning run and Pittsburgh can score at home so expect goals. The betting price of 2.10 offers good value for a high scoring game.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Montreal enter this matchup riding a very impressive four game winning streak across their recent results.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.10 for backers of the over on the total goals line.
  • Pittsburgh won two out of their last four matches showing they can find the net regularly on home ice.
Why it might not
  • Pittsburgh lost two of their last four matches which brings some doubt about their scoring consistency.
  • The total goals line sits quite high at 6.5 which means both teams need to produce plenty of offense.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Pittsburgh Penguins the side to beat here at 50%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 6.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Montreal arrive with a strong winning run and Pittsburgh can score at home so expect goals. The betting price of 2.10 offers good value for a high scoring game.

Form and momentum

Pittsburgh Penguins come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Montreal Canadiens come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for PIT and 50% for MTL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Pittsburgh lost two of their last four matches which brings some doubt about their scoring consistency.
  • The total goals line sits quite high at 6.5 which means both teams need to produce plenty of offense.
The bottom line

We back Over 6.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBetMGMPIT -1.5
PIT1.91MTL1.91over 61.87under 61.95
SourceCaesarsMTL -1.5
PIT1.92MTL1.93over 6.52.11under 6.51.74
SourceDraftKingsPIT -110
PIT1.91MTL1.91over 6.52.10under 6.51.77

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PITPittsburgh Penguins4 games on record
Won2
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLW
MTLMontreal Canadiens5 games on record
Won4
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotStrategy

Pens and Habs, who are you backing tonight?

Montreal are on a strong run and Pittsburgh can score at home so the site model calls a draw. The short case says goals are likely at that price. Pittsburgh lost two of their last four matches which b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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