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Betting tips › USL Championship ›  Phoenix Rising FC v Lexington

 USL ChampionshipSun 25 Oct 02:00 UTCPhoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington

Phoenix Rising FC v Lexington tips

PHXPhoenix Rising FCLLWDW
VS
LEXLexingtonWWWLL
The model callPhoenix Rising FCMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

Phoenix Rising play at home and bring decent recent form into this fixture against Lexington. The price of 2.20 offers enough value to back the hosts to edge it.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Phoenix Rising FC return to home turf after picking up two wins and a draw from their last five matches in the league.
  • The betting market prices Phoenix Rising FC at 2.20 to win the match which gives us a solid price to back.
  • Lexington travel here having lost two consecutive matches which suggests they might struggle to take all three points.
Why it might not
  • Lexington won three matches in a row before their recent losses and could easily bounce back to their best form.
  • Phoenix Rising FC suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they are prone to losing matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

With both sides trading wins and losses lately, we should see goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown mixed defensive solidity recently which leaves the over 2.5 goal line open to question.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Phoenix Rising FC the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Phoenix Rising FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Phoenix Rising play at home and bring decent recent form into this fixture against Lexington. The price of 2.20 offers enough value to back the hosts to edge it.

Form and momentum

Phoenix Rising FC come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Lexington come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for PHX, 25% for the draw and 34% for LEX once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lexington won three matches in a row before their recent losses and could easily bounce back to their best form.
  • Phoenix Rising FC suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they are prone to losing matches.
The bottom line

We back Phoenix Rising FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPHX +120
PHX2.20draw3.60LEX2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PHXPhoenix Rising FC7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDW
LEXLexington7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored18and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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