Perth Glory v Adelaide United tips

PER

Perth Glory

ADE

Adelaide United

The model callAdelaide UnitedMatch result2.25★★★★1 star

Adelaide United come into this fixture away from home as the market favorites against Perth Glory at HBF Park. The odds of 2.25 on the visitors reflect a slight edge in a match where neither side has any recent results on record.

Stake1 unit

That is$10

Returns$22.5

Profit$12.5

Why it might land

Adelaide United are favored by the bookmakers with a decent price of 2.25 on offer to claim all three points on the road.
Perth Glory are priced as the underdogs at 2.90 to win this home fixture at HBF Park to start their new campaign.
The betting market indicates a competitive encounter with the draw priced out at 3.55 according to the latest odds.

Why it might not

Perth Glory have no results on record yet to give us any concrete evidence of their current squad strength.
Adelaide United have no results on record yet which makes backing them at 2.25 away from home a speculative choice.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams enter the fixture with no recent matches played so we lack defensive data.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no historical goal scoring patterns or recent form to guide us on the total line.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Adelaide United the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Adelaide United, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Adelaide United come into this fixture away from home as the market favorites against Perth Glory at HBF Park. The odds of 2.25 on the visitors reflect a slight edge in a match where neither side has any recent results on record.

Form and momentum

Perth Glory land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

Adelaide United land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for PER, 26% for the draw and 41% for ADE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Perth Glory have no results on record yet to give us any concrete evidence of their current squad strength.
Adelaide United have no results on record yet which makes backing them at 2.25 away from home a speculative choice.

The bottom line

We back Adelaide United for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsADL +125

PER2.90draw3.55ADE2.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.