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Betting tips › College Football ›  USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions

 College FootballSat 10 Oct 23:30 UTCBeaver StadiumFinished

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions tips

USCUSC TrojansWLWWW
31 : 23
PSUPenn State Nittany LionsLLWWW
The model callUSC Trojans +1.5Handicap1.89★★★★2 starsWon

Southern California enters this hostile road environment with four straight wins behind them. Penn State dropped their last outing and now must cover a short spread against a strong opponent.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.8
Profit$17.8
Why it might land
  • The visiting Southern California squad arrives in happy mood after stringing together four straight victories against various opponents.
  • Penn State suffered a loss in their most recent match to show some vulnerability heading into this massive home fixture.
  • Southern California plus one point five gives us a very generous cushion on a team that has found ways to win four matches in a row.
Why it might not
  • Beaver Stadium is one of the toughest places to play in the entire country for any visiting football team.
  • Penn State previously won three consecutive games before their latest defeat and remains a very dangerous home side.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 58.5 pointsPrice 1.91Lost

Both teams showed strong scoring form through their recent matches and fifty eight point five is within reach.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes USC Trojans the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on USC Trojans +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Southern California enters this hostile road environment with four straight wins behind them. Penn State dropped their last outing and now must cover a short spread against a strong opponent.

Form and momentum

Penn State Nittany Lions come in solid, winning 55% of 11 on record. 5 of their 8 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

USC Trojans come in strong, winning 83% of 12 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for PSU and 51% for USC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.89, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Beaver Stadium is one of the toughest places to play in the entire country for any visiting football team.
  • Penn State previously won three consecutive games before their latest defeat and remains a very dangerous home side.
The bottom line

We back USC Trojans +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUSC -1.5
PSU +1.51.89USC -1.51.93over 54.51.85under 54.51.98

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PSUPenn State Nittany Lions11 games on record
Won6
Lost5
  • Scored374and let in191
  • At home5 winsfrom8
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW
USCUSC Trojans12 games on record
Won10
Lost2
  • Scored497and let in281
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

USC or Penn State tonight?

The site model likes USC because they come in on a four game win streak and Penn State lost their last match. Beaver Stadium is notoriously tough for visitors though. What are people here backing? Rem...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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