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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  PEC Zwolle v SC Cambuur

 EredivisieSun 11 Oct 12:30 UTCMAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle v SC Cambuur tips

PECPEC ZwolleLLDLW
VS
CAMSC CambuurDWDLL
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.59★★★★2 stars

We expect a tight match at the MACpark Stadion because both sides struggle for goals and the price of 1.59 on under 1.5 goals points to a low scoring affair.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.8
Profit$11.8
Why it might land
  • The total goals line is set at 3.5 with the under priced at 1.59 which suggests the bookmakers anticipate a very low scoring game on Sunday.
  • PEC Zwolle come into this fixture on a poor run of form after recording three losses and one draw alongside a single win in their last five matches.
  • SC Cambuur show similarly patchy recent form with two losses and two draws coupled with just one victory across their last five outings in the league.
Why it might not
  • PEC Zwolle play this fixture at home in front of their own supporters where they will desperately want to improve upon their recent run of defeats.
  • SC Cambuur travel to the MACpark Stadion looking to build on their recent draw and will push hard to break down a vulnerable home defence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent form suggests both teams might struggle to find the back of the net in this encounter.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes PEC Zwolle the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect a tight match at the MACpark Stadion because both sides struggle for goals and the price of 1.59 on under 1.5 goals points to a low scoring affair.

Form and momentum

PEC Zwolle come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

SC Cambuur come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for PEC, 24% for the draw and 27% for CAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward PEC Zwolle, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.59, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • PEC Zwolle play this fixture at home in front of their own supporters where they will desperately want to improve upon their recent run of defeats.
  • SC Cambuur travel to the MACpark Stadion looking to build on their recent draw and will push hard to break down a vulnerable home defence.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPEC -115
PEC1.87draw3.90CAM3.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PECPEC Zwolle40 games on record
Won9
Drawn11
Lost20
  • Scored49and let in91
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW
CAMSC Cambuur7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in19
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

PEC Zwolle v Cambuur low scorer?

The site model says a tight draw is on the cards here because both teams struggle to score and under 1.5 goals is short at 1.59. The counter argument is that Zwolle are at home and desperate to bounce...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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