Betting tips › Ligue 2 › Pau v Dunkerque

Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept 18:00 UTCNouste CampFinished

Pau v Dunkerque tips

PAU

PauLDDLW

2 : 0

DUN

DunkerqueWDLLD

The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.77★★★★2 starsLost

Expect goals at Nouste Camp on Friday night because both defences look leaky based on recent matches. Neither side has managed to put together a clean run of form lately.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$35.4

Profit$15.4

Why it might land

Pau are priced at 2.40 to win this match but their recent defensive form includes a heavy loss and only one clean sheet in five games.
Dunkerque arrive with a patchy run of form that features two defeats and a draw in their last five fixtures alone.
The total goals line is set at 2.5 with the over priced at 1.77 which suggests the bookmakers expect an open game here.

Why it might not

Dunkerque managed just one win in their last five outings and struggled to find any consistency in front of goal during that sequence.
Pau recorded two recent draws where they failed to break down stubborn opponents so this could turn into a tighter contest than expected.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Pau and Dunkerque both tend to concede regularly based on their latest results across Ligue 2.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Pau the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals at Nouste Camp on Friday night because both defences look leaky based on recent matches. Neither side has managed to put together a clean run of form lately.

Form and momentum

Pau come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Dunkerque come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for PAU, 28% for the draw and 31% for DUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Dunkerque managed just one win in their last five outings and struggled to find any consistency in front of goal during that sequence.
Pau recorded two recent draws where they failed to break down stubborn opponents so this could turn into a tighter contest than expected.

The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAU +125

PAU2.25draw3.25DUN3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PAU

Pau6 games on record

Won1

Drawn2

Lost3

Scored4and let in6
At home0 winsfrom3
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLDDLW

DUN

Dunkerque6 games on record

Won2

Drawn2

Lost2

Scored10and let in10
On the road0 winsfrom2
Right now1 win in a row

Last fiveWDLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Pau v Dunkerque: goals at Nouste Camp?

The site model calls this a draw. Expect goals on Friday because both defences look leaky and neither side has any clean form. Dunkerque only managed one win in five and struggled for goals in that ru...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.