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Betting tips › Serie A ›  Parma v Monza

 Serie ASun 6 Sept 13:00 UTCEnnio TardiniFinished

Parma v Monza tips

PARParmaLLLWL
1 : 1
MONMonzaWLL
The model callDrawMatch result2.95★★★★1 starWon

The bookmakers cannot split these two sides and neither can I. An early season clash at the Tardini often ends with shared points.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$29.5
Profit$19.5
Why it might land
  • Both sides are priced evenly on the market with little between them.
  • A cautious approach early in the campaign frequently leads to a stalemate.
  • The draw price offers the best value among three tightly matched outcomes.
Why it might not
  • Home advantage at the Tardini could push Parma over the line.
  • Monza have enough attacking quality to snatch all three points away.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Parma the side to beat here at 34%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. The bookmakers cannot split these two sides and neither can I. An early season clash at the Tardini often ends with shared points.

Form and momentum

Parma come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 5 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Monza come in patchy, winning 33% of 3 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for PAR, 32% for the draw and 34% for MON once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Home advantage at the Tardini could push Parma over the line.
  • Monza have enough attacking quality to snatch all three points away.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAR +170
PAR2.70draw2.90MON2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PARParma40 games on record
Won11
Drawn12
Lost17
  • Scored28and let in49
  • At home5 winsfrom21
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWL
MONMonza3 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored4and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Anyone backing the draw for Parma against Monza?

The site model is calling the draw because the bookmakers cannot split these two sides. An early season clash at the Tardini often ends with shared points. However, home advantage at the Tardini could...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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