Betting tips › Serie A › Parma v Genoa
Serie ASun 20 Sept 13:00 UTCEnnio TardiniFinished
ParmaLDLLL
GenoaWDLLLWe back goals because both sides bring poor defensive records into this Sunday fixture at the Tardini. Genoa has lost five consecutive matches while Parma shows four defeats in their last five outings.
Given Genoa losing five in a row without finding any form one side might easily fail to score.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Genoa the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We back goals because both sides bring poor defensive records into this Sunday fixture at the Tardini. Genoa has lost five consecutive matches while Parma shows four defeats in their last five outings.
Parma come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 5 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Genoa come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 4 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 31% for PAR, 32% for the draw and 37% for GEN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 0 wins each and 2 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Parma40 games on recordGenoa40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model calls the draw with goals because both teams have shocking defensive records and poor recent form. Parma only managed one win in their last five though so they struggle to take their ch...