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Betting tips › Copa Libertadores ›  Palmeiras v Fluminense

 Copa LibertadoresThu 22 Oct 00:30 UTCAllianz Parque

Palmeiras v Fluminense tips

PALPalmeirasWDWDD
VS
FLUFluminenseLWLWD
The model callPalmeirasMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Palmeiras play at Allianz Parque and hold a solid price of 1.87 to secure a win. Fluminense arrive with patchy form after losing two of their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Palmeiras return to their home ground holding a solid price of 1.87 to take the win.
  • The hosts bring an unbeaten five match run of form into this fixture featuring two wins and three draws.
  • Fluminense travel after a patchy recent sequence that includes two defeats across their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Palmeiras have been prone to stalemates lately after drawing three of their last five matches.
  • Fluminense managed a win in their most recent outings and can prove stubborn opponents in continental ties.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent low scoring draws for the hosts suggest one defence might keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

The under 2.5 goals line sits at 1.69 because both sides often tight matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Palmeiras the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Palmeiras, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Palmeiras play at Allianz Parque and hold a solid price of 1.87 to secure a win. Fluminense arrive with patchy form after losing two of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Palmeiras come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Fluminense come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for PAL, 28% for the draw and 23% for FLU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Palmeiras, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Palmeiras have been prone to stalemates lately after drawing three of their last five matches.
  • Fluminense managed a win in their most recent outings and can prove stubborn opponents in continental ties.
The bottom line

We back Palmeiras for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAL -115
PAL1.87draw3.35FLU4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PALPalmeiras8 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in6
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD
FLUFluminense8 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in13
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1PAL wins
0drawn
1FLU wins
  • Fluminense 1 : 2 Palmeiras15 Oct 2026 · Copa Libertadores
  • Fluminense 3 : 2 Palmeiras15 Aug 2026 · Brasileirao

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Palmeiras v Fluminense home win?

Palmeiras play at Allianz Parque and hold a solid price of 1.87 to secure a win. Fluminense arrive with patchy form after losing two of their last five matches. Still, Palmeiras have been prone to sta...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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