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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Padova v Virtus Entella

 Serie BSat 17 Oct 13:00 UTCEuganeo

Padova v Virtus Entella tips

PADPadovaLWLDW
VS
ENTVirtus EntellaDWDLL
The model callPadovaMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Padova have enough recent home form to edge this contest at the Euganeo. Virtus Entella arrive with a concerning run of defeats on their record.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Padova come into this fixture holding two wins from their last five matches across the division.
  • The hosts are priced at 2.40 to claim all three points in front of their own supporters.
  • Virtus Entella have suffered two defeats in their most recent five outings in Serie B.
Why it might not
  • Padova also dropped points recently with two losses and a draw in their last five fixtures.
  • Virtus Entella managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches to frustrate opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent form points to mixed attacking returns which makes a clean sheet for either side quite possible.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring power in their recent matches to suggest a high scoring game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Padova the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Padova, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Padova have enough recent home form to edge this contest at the Euganeo. Virtus Entella arrive with a concerning run of defeats on their record.

Form and momentum

Padova come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Virtus Entella come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for PAD, 31% for the draw and 30% for ENT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Padova also dropped points recently with two losses and a draw in their last five fixtures.
  • Virtus Entella managed to pick up draws in two of their last five matches to frustrate opponents.
The bottom line

We back Padova for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAD +140
PAD2.40draw3.00ENT3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PADPadova5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLDW
ENTVirtus Entella5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Padova or Entella on Friday?

The site model goes for Padova because of decent home form and Entella losing a few on the road. On the other hand Padova have two losses and a draw in their last five. What are you lot backing here?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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