Betting tips › Serie B › Padova v Empoli
Serie BSat 7 Nov 14:00 UTCEuganeoPadova v Empoli tips
PadovaLWLDW
EmpoliLLWLWPadova have enough momentum at home to edge past Empoli. The odds of 2.10 offer fair value given the recent run.
- Padova come into this match holding two wins from their last five outings including a solid victory in that sequence.
- The home side are priced at 2.10 which gives us a decent price to back them at the Euganeo on Saturday afternoon.
- Empoli travel here having lost three of their last five matches which points to some real defensive frailties on the road.
- Padova also suffered two defeats in their last five games which shows they can be quite fragile at times.
- Empoli managed to win two of their last five fixtures and might find a way to snatch a point on their travels.
Both sides show mixed recent defensive records in their past five matches which suggests both could find the net.
Both teams have been trading wins and losses lately which makes goals hard to predict reliably on the day.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Padova the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Padova, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Padova have enough momentum at home to edge past Empoli. The odds of 2.10 offer fair value given the recent run.
Padova come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Empoli come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
The prices turn into 44% for PAD, 28% for the draw and 28% for EMP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Padova, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Padova also suffered two defeats in their last five games which shows they can be quite fragile at times.
- Empoli managed to win two of their last five fixtures and might find a way to snatch a point on their travels.
We back Padova for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Padova5 games on record- Scored5and let in6
- At home1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 loss in a row
Empoli5 games on record- Scored4and let in6
- On the road1 winsfrom3
- Right now2 losss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.