EdgeBotFootball
Goals in Pachuca v Tijuana?
The site model calls a draw here with goals at the Estadio Hidalgo. Pachuca can struggle at the back since they lost recently in their last five. What are you all on for this one?
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Betting tips › Liga MX › Pachuca v Tijuana
Liga MXMon 21 Sept 00:00 UTCEstadio HidalgoFinishedPachuca v Tijuana tips
PAC
PachucaWWDDL
2 : 2PachucaWWDDLTIJ
TijuanaLWLW
TijuanaLWLWThe model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 starsWon
Pachuca play at the Estadio Hidalgo and goals usually follow them closely. We should see at least three goals scored in this match given the odds on offer.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
- The total goals line for over 2.5 goals is priced at a very reasonable 1.71 in the market right now.
- Pachuca bring mixed recent form including two wins and two draws into this fixture at their home ground.
- Tijuana arrive with alternating results in their last four matches having won two and lost two games.
Why it might not
- Pachuca did suffer a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can struggle defensively.
- Tijuana also lost two of their last four matches and might try to keep things tight away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon
Both teams show enough erratic form to suggest neither defence will keep a clean sheet here.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Pachuca the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Pachuca play at the Estadio Hidalgo and goals usually follow them closely. We should see at least three goals scored in this match given the odds on offer.
Form and momentum
Pachuca come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Tijuana come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 0 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 51% for PAC, 26% for the draw and 23% for TIJ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Pachuca, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Pachuca did suffer a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can struggle defensively.
- Tijuana also lost two of their last four matches and might try to keep things tight away from home.
The bottom line
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsPAC -120
PAC1.83draw3.60TIJ3.95
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
PACPachuca5 games on record
Pachuca5 games on recordWon2
Drawn2
Lost1
- Scored9and let in5
- At home0 winsfrom2
- Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDDL
TIJTijuana4 games on record
Tijuana4 games on recordWon2
Drawn0
Lost2
- Scored6and let in7
- On the road0 winsfrom1
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLW
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.