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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Pachuca v Cruz Azul

 Liga MXThu 22 Oct 03:00 UTCEstadio Hidalgo

Pachuca v Cruz Azul tips

PACPachucaLDWWD
VS
CAZCruz AzulDLWWW
The model callCruz AzulMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Cruz Azul arrive with strong winning momentum in their recent matches while Pachuca are struggling for consistency. The away price offers a solid payout for backing the team in better form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Cruz Azul bring three recent wins into this fixture which shows they carry proper momentum.
  • The away price sits at 2.40 which gives us a very fair return on the better run of form.
  • Pachuca only managed two draws and a single loss across their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Pachuca did secure two wins in their recent run so they can cause problems on their own turf.
  • Cruz Azul suffered a recent loss which proves they are not completely immune to slipping up.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Pachuca and Cruz Azul both tend to find the net regularly enough based on their recent results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough scoring capacity in their recent outings to push this past two goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cruz Azul the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Cruz Azul, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cruz Azul arrive with strong winning momentum in their recent matches while Pachuca are struggling for consistency. The away price offers a solid payout for backing the team in better form.

Form and momentum

Pachuca come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Cruz Azul come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for PAC, 26% for the draw and 39% for CAZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Pachuca did secure two wins in their recent run so they can cause problems on their own turf.
  • Cruz Azul suffered a recent loss which proves they are not completely immune to slipping up.
The bottom line

We back Cruz Azul for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAZ +140
PAC2.70draw3.60CAZ2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PACPachuca7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in8
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWD
CAZCruz Azul7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Pachuca or Cruz Azul for this one?

The site model goes for Cruz Azul at 2.40 because they have strong winning momentum while Pachuca struggle for consistency. Still, Pachuca have picked up two wins lately so they can cause problems on ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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