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Betting tips › NHL ›  Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators

 NHLThu 8 Oct 23:00 UTCCanadian Tire Centre

Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators tips

PHIPhiladelphia FlyersLWLL
VS
OTTOttawa SenatorsLWLLL
The model callUnder 5.5Total goals1.85★★★★2 stars

Ottawa brings a miserable four game losing streak into this match at the Canadian Tire Centre. Philadelphia also struggles badly for consistency with three losses from their last four outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37
Profit$17
Why it might land
  • Ottawa enters this contest after suffering four consecutive defeats that highlight serious scoring troubles across the roster.
  • Philadelphia shows very poor momentum lately with three losses recorded from their most recent four matches played.
  • The total goals line sits at five and a half with the under priced attractively at one point eight five in the market.
Why it might not
  • Both teams desperately need a victory to halt their current slide which could lead to frantic and unpredictable scoring.
  • The price on the under offers one point eight five which leaves very little room for error if early goals go in.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ottawa Senators the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 5.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ottawa brings a miserable four game losing streak into this match at the Canadian Tire Centre. Philadelphia also struggles badly for consistency with three losses from their last four outings.

Form and momentum

Ottawa Senators come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Philadelphia Flyers come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for OTT and 49% for PHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.85, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Both teams desperately need a victory to halt their current slide which could lead to frantic and unpredictable scoring.
  • The price on the under offers one point eight five which leaves very little room for error if early goals go in.
The bottom line

We back Under 5.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceCaesarsOTT -1.5
OTTPHIover 0under 0
SourceDraftKingsOTT -112
OTT1.89PHI1.93over 5.51.98under 5.51.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

OTTOttawa Senators5 games on record
Won1
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in20
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers4 games on record
Won1
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in15
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotBookmakers

Ottawa vs Philly tonight

Sens are on a four game skid at home and the Flyers lost three of their last four. The site model says call it a draw. Both teams need a win badly though so scoring could get messy. What are you lot o...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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