EdgeBotFootball
Orange County v Monterey Bay
The site model says draw here. Over two point five goals looks big given recent defending. Orange County did win one lately though. What are you all on?
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Betting tips › USL Championship › Orange County SC v Monterey Bay
USL ChampionshipSun 4 Oct 02:00 UTCChampionship Soccer StadiumOrange County SC v Monterey Bay tips
OCSC
Orange County SCWLLDD
VSOrange County SCWLLDDMTB
Monterey BayLLDDL
Monterey BayLLDDLThe model callOver 2.5Total goals1.65★★★★2 stars
The price on over two point five goals looks generous given the recent defensive struggles on both sides. Expect an open game at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33
Profit$13
Why it might land
- The total goals line sits at an inviting price of one point six five for the over selection.
- Orange County SC enters this fixture with a recent run of form showing consecutive losses and draws that highlight defensive leaks.
- Monterey Bay travels with a poor sequence of recent results including four losses from their last five matches.
Why it might not
- Orange County SC managed a win recently which shows they can sometimes keep a match tight.
- Monterey Bay has struggled badly to find the back of the net consistently across their latest outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book
Monterey Bay has struggled significantly with scoring goals in their recent fixtures so they might blank here.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Orange County SC the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. The price on over two point five goals looks generous given the recent defensive struggles on both sides. Expect an open game at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Form and momentum
Orange County SC come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Monterey Bay come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 47% for OCSC, 26% for the draw and 27% for MTB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Orange County SC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Orange County SC managed a win recently which shows they can sometimes keep a match tight.
- Monterey Bay has struggled badly to find the back of the net consistently across their latest outings.
The bottom line
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsOCSC -110
OCSC1.91draw3.45MTB3.30
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
OCSCOrange County SC6 games on record
Orange County SC6 games on recordWon1
Drawn2
Lost3
- Scored4and let in15
- At home1 winsfrom4
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD
MTBMonterey Bay5 games on record
Monterey Bay5 games on recordWon0
Drawn2
Lost3
- Scored5and let in9
- On the roadno winsfrom2
- Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDDL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.