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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Once Caldas v Águilas Doradas

 Categoria Primera ASat 7 Nov 19:00 UTCPalogrande

Once Caldas v Águilas Doradas tips

CALOnce CaldasLLWLL
VS
AGDÁguilas DoradasLLDLD
The model callOnce CaldasMatch result1.71★★★★1 star

Once Caldas play at Palogrande and should edge a poor side. Aguilas Doradas arrive in dreadful form.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$17.1
Profit$7.1
Why it might land
  • Once Caldas are at home in Manizales and the bookmakers price them at 1.71 to take all three points against struggling opponents.
  • Aguilas Doradas travel with a terrible run of recent results that shows three losses and two draws in their last five matches.
  • Once Caldas managed a win among their recent outings while Aguilas Doradas failed to win any of their last five fixtures.
Why it might not
  • Once Caldas lost four out of their last five matches which makes backing them at 1.71 a risky proposition for punters.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed two draws in their last five games and could frustrate the hosts to steal a point at Palogrande.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor attacking form of both sides it is hard to trust them both to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams struggle for goals and recent matches point toward a low scoring affair.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Once Caldas the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Once Caldas, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Once Caldas play at Palogrande and should edge a poor side. Aguilas Doradas arrive in dreadful form.

Form and momentum

Once Caldas come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Águilas Doradas come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for CAL, 26% for the draw and 21% for AGD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Once Caldas, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Once Caldas lost four out of their last five matches which makes backing them at 1.71 a risky proposition for punters.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed two draws in their last five games and could frustrate the hosts to steal a point at Palogrande.
The bottom line

We back Once Caldas for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAL -140
CAL1.71draw3.45AGD4.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CALOnce Caldas7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
AGDÁguilas Doradas8 games on record
Won0
Drawn5
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in13
  • On the roadno winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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