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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Nueva Chicago v San Martín (San Juan)

 Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCRepública de Mataderos

Nueva Chicago v San Martín (San Juan) tips

NCHINueva ChicagoWDLWL
VS
SMSJSan Martín (San Juan)LWDLW
The model callNueva ChicagoMatch result2.65★★★★1 star

Nueva Chicago plays at home at the Republica de Mataderos with a slight edge in recent matches. The market prices this contest evenly across all three outcomes.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$26.5
Profit$16.5
Why it might land
  • Nueva Chicago comes into this fixture holding three wins from their last five outings in the Primera Nacional.
  • The home side managed to take three points in their most recent match before this Saturday afternoon kickoff.
  • San Martin San Juan has suffered two defeats across their last five matches played in the division.
Why it might not
  • San Martin San Juan recently claimed two wins and a draw which shows they can pick up points on the road.
  • Nueva Chicago also lost two of their last five matches which proves they are far from bulletproof at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

With both teams trading wins and losses lately, scoring at both ends feels quite possible.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed defensive form in their recent results so we might see a couple of goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nueva Chicago the side to beat here at 34%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Nueva Chicago, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Nueva Chicago plays at home at the Republica de Mataderos with a slight edge in recent matches. The market prices this contest evenly across all three outcomes.

Form and momentum

Nueva Chicago come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

San Martín (San Juan) come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for NCHI, 33% for the draw and 33% for SMSJ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings SMSJ have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • San Martin San Juan recently claimed two wins and a draw which shows they can pick up points on the road.
  • Nueva Chicago also lost two of their last five matches which proves they are far from bulletproof at home.
The bottom line

We back Nueva Chicago for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNCHI +165
NCHI2.65draw2.75SMSJ2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NCHINueva Chicago7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored3and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWL
SMSJSan Martín (San Juan)8 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0NCHI wins
0drawn
1SMSJ wins
  • San Martín (San Juan) 1 : 0 Nueva Chicago26 Aug 2026 · Primera Nacional

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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