Betting tips › Primera Nacional › Nueva Chicago v Patronato
Primera NacionalMon 21 Sept 22:00 UTCRepública de MataderosFinished
Nueva ChicagoLWLLL
PatronatoDDLWDNueva Chicago keeps losing matches while Patronato picks up draws and neither side shows any real capability to score freely on a regular basis. The price of 2.25 on the under line offers decent value given their recent low scoring patterns.
Nueva Chicago has lost four of their last five matches without showing any reliable threat in front of goal.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Nueva Chicago the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nueva Chicago keeps losing matches while Patronato picks up draws and neither side shows any real capability to score freely on a regular basis. The price of 2.25 on the under line offers decent value given their recent low scoring patterns.
Nueva Chicago come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Patronato come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.
The prices turn into 38% for NCHI, 33% for the draw and 30% for CAP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Under 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Nueva Chicago5 games on recordPatronato5 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model says take the draw and the under. Both teams struggle to score and Nueva Chicago keeps dropping matches. Patronato could nick an early goal and ruin the under bet though. What are you a...