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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Novorizontino v Fortaleza

 Brazil Serie BSat 7 Nov 19:10 UTCEstádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Novorizontino v Fortaleza tips

NOVNovorizontinoDLDWW
VS
FORFortalezaDWDWW
The model callNovorizontinoMatch result1.77★★★★2 stars

Novorizontino are at home and look solid enough on recent form to justify the price. Fortaleza travel with decent results behind them so this will be tight.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • Novorizontino come into this fixture playing well with two recent wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.77 for Novorizontino to win this match on their own turf.
  • Fortaleza have picked up two draws in their last five outings showing they can occasionally be stopped on the road.
Why it might not
  • Fortaleza arrive in strong unbeaten form with two wins and a draw in their most recent outings.
  • Novorizontino have also recorded a loss and two draws recently which proves they are far from unbeatable.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither side is prolific enough on paper to guarantee goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown plenty of tight results recently which points towards a low scoring game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Novorizontino the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Novorizontino, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Novorizontino are at home and look solid enough on recent form to justify the price. Fortaleza travel with decent results behind them so this will be tight.

Form and momentum

Novorizontino come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 3 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Fortaleza come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for NOV, 26% for the draw and 21% for FOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Novorizontino, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Fortaleza arrive in strong unbeaten form with two wins and a draw in their most recent outings.
  • Novorizontino have also recorded a loss and two draws recently which proves they are far from unbeatable.
The bottom line

We back Novorizontino for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNOV -130
NOV1.77draw3.50FOR4.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NOVNovorizontino8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored17and let in7
  • At home3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWW
FORFortaleza8 games on record
Won4
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in6
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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