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Betting tips › Europa League ›  NK Celje v Omonia Nicosia

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 16:45 UTCStadion Z'dezele

NK Celje v Omonia Nicosia tips

NKCNK CeljeL
VS
OMONOmonia NicosiaW
The model callNK CeljeMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Celje play at home on Thursday evening and might edge a tight match against Omonia. The market prices the hosts at two point four zero to get the win.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • NK Celje have home advantage at Stadion Zdezele for this fixture which always helps European ambitions.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of two point four zero for an outright victory by NK Celje.
  • Omonia Nicosia travel away from home on the back of mixed form in recent continental outings.
Why it might not
  • NK Celje enter this fixture having lost their most recent match in the competition.
  • Omonia Nicosia arrive with momentum after winning their last competitive match before this trip.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

We could see both teams score because defensive frailties in recent fixtures leave the door open for goals.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.80

Both sides possess enough attacking intent to push the total past two point five goals at one point eight zero.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes NK Celje the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on NK Celje, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Celje play at home on Thursday evening and might edge a tight match against Omonia. The market prices the hosts at two point four zero to get the win.

Form and momentum

NK Celje come in poor, winning 0% of 1 on record. they have little home form banked, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Omonia Nicosia come in strong, winning 100% of 1 on record. they have little away form banked, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for NKC, 28% for the draw and 33% for OMON once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • NK Celje enter this fixture having lost their most recent match in the competition.
  • Omonia Nicosia arrive with momentum after winning their last competitive match before this trip.
The bottom line

We back NK Celje for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNKC +140
NKC2.40draw3.30OMON2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NKCNK Celje1 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored0and let in2
  • At homeno winsfrom0
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveL
OMONOmonia Nicosia1 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost0
  • Scored1and let in0
  • On the road0 winsfrom0
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Celje v Omonia, anyone playing this one?

The site model has Celje at two point four zero to edge a tight home game this Thursday evening. The catch is they just lost their last match in the competition. What are people here on for this game?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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