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Betting tips › Ligue 1 ›  Nice v Strasbourg

 Ligue 1Sun 11 Oct 13:00 UTCAllianz Riviera

Nice v Strasbourg tips

NICENiceWLDLD
VS
STRStrasbourgLDWWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.67★★★★2 stars

We back goals to flow at Allianz Riviera because both sides bring mixed defensive form into this fixture. The market prices the over at 1.67 which offers a fair angle.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.4
Profit$13.4
Why it might land
  • Nice comes into this match having recorded two draws and two losses from their last five outings in the league.
  • Strasbourg shows plenty of inconsistency with two wins and three defeats across their recent five fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.67 for over 2.5 total goals which suggests the market expects an open contest.
Why it might not
  • Nice put up a blank in two of their last five matches which could threaten our goal tally if they struggle again.
  • Strasbourg also failed to score in two of their recent five games making a low scoring match a distinct possibility.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net since their recent results show a mix of scoring and leaking goals.

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!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nice the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We back goals to flow at Allianz Riviera because both sides bring mixed defensive form into this fixture. The market prices the over at 1.67 which offers a fair angle.

Form and momentum

Nice come in poor, winning 21% of 39 on record. 5 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Strasbourg come in patchy, winning 44% of 39 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for NICE, 27% for the draw and 31% for STR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Nice, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.67, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings STR have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nice put up a blank in two of their last five matches which could threaten our goal tally if they struggle again.
  • Strasbourg also failed to score in two of their recent five games making a low scoring match a distinct possibility.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
NICE2.35draw3.60STR3.00
SourceDraftKingsNICE +120
NICE2.20draw3.50STR3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NICENice39 games on record
Won8
Drawn13
Lost18
  • Scored40and let in66
  • At home5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLD
STRStrasbourg39 games on record
Won17
Drawn9
Lost13
  • Scored68and let in57
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0NICE wins
1drawn
1STR wins
  • Strasbourg 3 : 1 Nice4 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1
  • Nice 1 : 1 Strasbourg3 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Nice v Strasbourg?

The site model says back goals here because both teams show mixed defensive form lately. The over sits at 1.67 and looks a fair angle. On the other hand Nice failed to score in two of their last five ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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