Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › League Two ›  Newport County v York City

 League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCRodney Parade

Newport County v York City tips

NEWNewport CountyDWDDL
VS
YORKYork CityWLWDL
The model callYork CityMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

York City come here as favourites at 1.91 despite mixed recent form. Newport have too many draws lately to trust at home.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • York City are priced at 1.91 to win this match because they hold the strongest outright odds on the board.
  • Newport County have failed to win four of their last five matches after picking up draws against three different opponents in that run.
  • Newport County suffered a recent defeat to show they remain vulnerable at Rodney Parade against visiting sides.
Why it might not
  • York City lost one of their last five fixtures to prove they are entirely capable of slipping up on the road.
  • Newport County avoided defeat in four of their last five outings to show they are difficult to beat completely.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses with regularity so goals could sneak in at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a consistent goalscoring touch in recent weeks to suggest a high scoring match.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes York City the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on York City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. York City come here as favourites at 1.91 despite mixed recent form. Newport have too many draws lately to trust at home.

Form and momentum

Newport County come in poor, winning 22% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

York City come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 26% for NEW, 25% for the draw and 49% for YORK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward York City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • York City lost one of their last five fixtures to prove they are entirely capable of slipping up on the road.
  • Newport County avoided defeat in four of their last five outings to show they are difficult to beat completely.
The bottom line

We back York City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsYORK -110
NEW3.60draw3.80YORK1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NEWNewport County9 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost3
  • Scored14and let in14
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDL
YORKYork City8 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored16and let in10
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW