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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Newell's Old Boys v Unión (Santa Fe)

 Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov 21:30 UTCMarcelo Bielsa

Newell's Old Boys v Unión (Santa Fe) tips

NOBNewell's Old BoysWDDDW
VS
USFUnión (Santa Fe)LLWWW
The model callNewell's Old BoysMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Newell's Old Boys play at home and hold a solid recent run of form against a visiting side that suffered consecutive defeats. The price of 1.95 on the hosts gives us enough value to back a tight home victory.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Newell's Old Boys enter this match at the Estadio Marcelo Bielsa carrying an unbeaten five match run of form that includes two wins and three draws.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.95 for a home win which reflects the contrasting momentum between these two sides in the Liga Profesional.
  • Unión arrive in Rosario having lost their last two league fixtures in a row which seriously harms their confidence ahead of this tough away trip.
Why it might not
  • Newell's Old Boys recorded three draws in their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to turn one point into three.
  • Unión managed three victories in a row prior to their recent defeats so they certainly possess the capacity to spring a surprise result.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Unión failed to score in their recent losses which suggests we might only see goals from one side here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams often feature in low scoring matches in this division so under 2.5 goals looks a sensible angle.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Newell's Old Boys the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Newell's Old Boys, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Newell's Old Boys play at home and hold a solid recent run of form against a visiting side that suffered consecutive defeats. The price of 1.95 on the hosts gives us enough value to back a tight home victory.

Form and momentum

Newell's Old Boys come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Unión (Santa Fe) come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for NOB, 28% for the draw and 24% for USF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Newell's Old Boys, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Newell's Old Boys recorded three draws in their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to turn one point into three.
  • Unión managed three victories in a row prior to their recent defeats so they certainly possess the capacity to spring a surprise result.
The bottom line

We back Newell's Old Boys for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNOB -105
NOB1.95draw3.30USF3.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NOBNewell's Old Boys7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDDW
USFUnión (Santa Fe)7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored13and let in11
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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