Betting tips › Premier League › Newcastle United v Aston Villa
Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct 16:30 UTCSt. James' Park
Newcastle UnitedWLWDW
Aston VillaWWLWDNewcastle play at home with a solid recent run of form behind them. Aston Villa travel with decent form too but the prices make the home side worth backing.
Each side has found the net regularly in their last five fixtures so goals at both ends are expected.
Both teams show decent scoring form in their recent matches which points towards more than two goals overall.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Newcastle United the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Newcastle United, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Newcastle play at home with a solid recent run of form behind them. Aston Villa travel with decent form too but the prices make the home side worth backing.
Newcastle United come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Aston Villa come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 10 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 46% for NEW, 25% for the draw and 29% for AVL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Newcastle United, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings AVL have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Newcastle United for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Newcastle United40 games on recordAston Villa40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model likes Newcastle at home given their recent form. Villa look solid too with two wins and a draw in their last five outings. It is a tough one to call. Who are you backing at these prices...