Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › MLB ›  Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

 MLBMon 14 Sept 23:10 UTCCiti FieldFinished

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets tips

BALBaltimore OriolesLLWWL
2 : 1
NYMNew York MetsLWLWW
The model callNew York MetsMatch result1.74★★★★2 starsLost

The New York Mets return to Citi Field with four wins from their last five matches. That strong run of form makes them a solid pick to beat the Baltimore Orioles at 1.74.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • The New York Mets enter this matchup at Citi Field having secured four victories from their last five recent results in the league.
  • The market prices the New York Mets to win at 1.74 which offers decent value for a team currently showing very strong winning momentum.
  • The Baltimore Orioles have been somewhat inconsistent lately because they lost two of their last five matches before arriving at Citi Field.
Why it might not
  • The Baltimore Orioles remain a dangerous opponent despite their recent inconsistency because they still managed to win three of their last five matches.
  • The price of 1.74 on the New York Mets means the bookmakers expect a competitive contest on this upcoming Monday night.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total runsOver 8.5 runsPrice 1.98Lost

The total runs line sits at 8.5 and both teams have shown enough recent scoring form to push the final score past that mark.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes New York Mets the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on New York Mets, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. The New York Mets return to Citi Field with four wins from their last five matches. That strong run of form makes them a solid pick to beat the Baltimore Orioles at 1.74.

Form and momentum

New York Mets come in strong, winning 60% of 15 on record. 3 of their 6 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Baltimore Orioles come in patchy, winning 44% of 16 on record. 5 of their 9 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for NYM and 47% for BAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The Baltimore Orioles remain a dangerous opponent despite their recent inconsistency because they still managed to win three of their last five matches.
  • The price of 1.74 on the New York Mets means the bookmakers expect a competitive contest on this upcoming Monday night.
The bottom line

We back New York Mets for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNYM -124
NYM1.81BAL2.03over 81.95under 81.88

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NYMNew York Mets15 games on record
Won9
Lost6
  • Scored91and let in73
  • At home3 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWW
BALBaltimore Orioles16 games on record
Won7
Lost9
  • Scored63and let in74
  • On the road5 winsfrom9
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Mets or Orioles tonight?

The site model likes the New York Mets at home after four wins from their last five matches. The Baltimore Orioles are still dangerous because they managed three wins in their last five. The model mak...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW