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Betting tips › MLS ›  New York City FC v Red Bull New York

 MLSFri 18 Sept 23:30 UTCYankee StadiumFinished

New York City FC v Red Bull New York tips

NYCNew York City FCWLDDD
0 : 1
RBNYRed Bull New YorkWLDLD
The model callNew York City FCMatch result1.77★★★★2 starsLost

New York City FC return to Yankee Stadium holding the stronger recent form profile compared to their struggling visitors. The hosts are priced at 1.77 to secure all three points in this local derby fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • New York City FC come into this fixture at Yankee Stadium after securing a recent win while their opponents continue to struggle for consistent form.
  • The visitors arrive with a poor recent run of results that includes two losses and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.77 on the home side to capitalize on their opponent's shaky away form and take the win.
Why it might not
  • New York City FC have struggled to turn draws into wins lately after recording three stalemates in their last five outings.
  • Red Bull New York managed a recent win of their own and will prove difficult opponents despite their inconsistent overall run.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in recent defensive displays which makes scoring at both ends likely.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.63Won

The total goals line is set high at 3.5 with the under priced at 1.63 given both teams tend to play out tight matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes New York City FC the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on New York City FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. New York City FC return to Yankee Stadium holding the stronger recent form profile compared to their struggling visitors. The hosts are priced at 1.77 to secure all three points in this local derby fixture.

Form and momentum

New York City FC come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Red Bull New York come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for NYC, 23% for the draw and 25% for RBNY once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward New York City FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • New York City FC have struggled to turn draws into wins lately after recording three stalemates in their last five outings.
  • Red Bull New York managed a recent win of their own and will prove difficult opponents despite their inconsistent overall run.
The bottom line

We back New York City FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNYC -130
NYC1.77draw3.95RBNY3.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NYCNew York City FC7 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in9
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
RBNYRed Bull New York7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in9
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

NYC FC or Red Bull in the derby?

NYC FC head back to Yankee Stadium in better form and the site model makes them 1.77 favourites. They have drawn three of their last five matches though so killing games off is a problem. Can they bea...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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