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Betting tips › MLS ›  New York City FC v LAFC

 MLSSat 17 Oct 23:30 UTCCiti Field

New York City FC v LAFC tips

NYCNew York City FCDLWLD
VS
LAFCLAFCLDLWD
The model callLAFCMatch result2.35★★★★1 star

LAFC travel to Citi Field as slight favorites at two point three five against a patchy New York City side. Both teams show mixed form lately so this match could easily swing either way.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23.5
Profit$13.5
Why it might land
  • The away side comes into this fixture priced at two point three five which makes them slight favorites on the road.
  • Recent results show New York City FC struggling to string wins together with a draw and a loss in their last two matches.
  • LAFC managed to secure a win and a draw recently showing they can grind out results when visiting tough venues.
Why it might not
  • The visitors have also struggled for consistency lately having picked up losses and draws in their recent fixtures.
  • New York City FC earned a draw and a win in their last five games proving they are tough to beat at Citi Field.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and draws with conceding goals appearing regularly in their recent results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a clear defensive rock solid form recently which leaves the goal line open.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes LAFC the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on LAFC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. LAFC travel to Citi Field as slight favorites at two point three five against a patchy New York City side. Both teams show mixed form lately so this match could easily swing either way.

Form and momentum

New York City FC come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

LAFC come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 0 of their 6 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for NYC, 27% for the draw and 39% for LAFC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The visitors have also struggled for consistency lately having picked up losses and draws in their recent fixtures.
  • New York City FC earned a draw and a win in their last five games proving they are tough to beat at Citi Field.
The bottom line

We back LAFC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLAFC +135
NYC2.75draw3.40LAFC2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NYCNew York City FC9 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in12
  • At home0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLD
LAFCLAFC9 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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