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Betting tips › NFL ›  Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints

 NFLSun 11 Oct 17:00 UTCCaesars Superdome

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints tips

MINMinnesota VikingsWWWLL
VS
NONew Orleans SaintsLWLWL
The model callNew Orleans Saints +1.5Handicap1.91★★★★2 stars

The Saints are at home and taking a tiny points start against the Vikings. Minnesota has been trading wins and losses recently which makes laying the small handicap risky.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • The New Orleans Saints get to play this football match at the Caesars Superdome with a point and a half start in the handicap market.
  • The Minnesota Vikings arrive carrying consecutive losses in their most recent form guide which lowers confidence in backing them to cover.
  • The bookmakers offer an even price of 191 for the home side to stay within one point or win outright on Sunday afternoon.
Why it might not
  • The recent form of the New Orleans Saints shows three losses from their last five matches which brings an obvious element of risk.
  • The Minnesota Vikings strung together three consecutive victories just before their latest skid which proves they can put strong runs together.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 44.5 pointsPrice 1.91

The total points line sits at forty four point five with equal pricing on both sides of the market.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Minnesota Vikings the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on New Orleans Saints +1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. The Saints are at home and taking a tiny points start against the Vikings. Minnesota has been trading wins and losses recently which makes laying the small handicap risky.

Form and momentum

New Orleans Saints come in poor, winning 31% of 26 on record. 3 of their 12 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Minnesota Vikings come in solid, winning 54% of 26 on record. 8 of their 14 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for NO and 53% for MIN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The recent form of the New Orleans Saints shows three losses from their last five matches which brings an obvious element of risk.
  • The Minnesota Vikings strung together three consecutive victories just before their latest skid which proves they can put strong runs together.
The bottom line

We back New Orleans Saints +1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMIN -1.5
NO +1.51.91MIN -1.51.91over 44.51.91under 44.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NONew Orleans Saints26 games on record
Won8
Lost17
  • Scored483and let in620
  • At home3 winsfrom12
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL
MINMinnesota Vikings26 games on record
Won14
Lost12
  • Scored482and let in484
  • On the road8 winsfrom14
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Saints or Vikings on this one?

The site model likes the Saints at home getting a tiny start against the Vikings. Minnesota has been up and down recently so laying the small handicap is risky. The worry is that New Orleans lost thre...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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