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Betting tips › MLS ›  New England Revolution v Chicago Fire FC

 MLSSat 17 Oct 23:30 UTCGillette Stadium

New England Revolution v Chicago Fire FC tips

NENew England RevolutionLWWWL
VS
CHIChicago Fire FCWLLDD
The model callNew England RevolutionMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

New England play at Gillette Stadium and hold a stronger recent run of form than Chicago Fire FC. The odds of 2.30 offer fair value for a home win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • New England Revolution enter this fixture having won three of their last five matches in a strong sequence of recent league form.
  • Chicago Fire FC have struggled to pick up wins on the road during a recent run that includes two losses and two draws.
  • The available price of 2.30 for New England Revolution to win gives us a decent return on a team with better winning momentum.
Why it might not
  • New England Revolution suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which shows they can still stumble unexpectedly.
  • Chicago Fire FC did manage to secure a win recently and will battle hard to take points away from Gillette Stadium.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough inconsistency at the back to suggest goals at both ends could happen.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a consistent tendency to blow past high goal lines in their recent matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes New England Revolution the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on New England Revolution, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. New England play at Gillette Stadium and hold a stronger recent run of form than Chicago Fire FC. The odds of 2.30 offer fair value for a home win.

Form and momentum

New England Revolution come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Chicago Fire FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 2 of their 6 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for NE, 25% for the draw and 35% for CHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings NE hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • New England Revolution suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which shows they can still stumble unexpectedly.
  • Chicago Fire FC did manage to secure a win recently and will battle hard to take points away from Gillette Stadium.
The bottom line

We back New England Revolution for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNE +130
NE2.30draw3.65CHI2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NENew England Revolution10 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored17and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWL
CHIChicago Fire FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored14and let in15
  • On the road2 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1NE wins
0drawn
0CHI wins
  • Chicago Fire FC 1 : 2 New England Revolution13 Sept 2026 · MLS

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

New England or Chicago tonight?

The site model likes New England at 2.30 because they are at home and have better recent form than Chicago. They did lose their last match though so they can still slip up. What are you lot backing on...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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