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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Necaxa v Atlas

 Liga MXSat 17 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Victoria

Necaxa v Atlas tips

NCXNecaxaLLLDL
VS
ATSAtlasWDLDL
The model callAtlasMatch result2.65★★★★1 star

Atlas travels to face Necaxa after picking up a win and a draw in their recent outings. Necaxa enters this match on a poor run with four losses and one draw from their last five fixtures.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$26.5
Profit$16.5
Why it might land
  • Atlas managed to secure a recent victory against an opponent while Necaxa suffered four defeats in their last five matches.
  • The market price for Atlas to win sits at 2.65 which gives us a decent price on a side facing a struggling home team.
  • Necaxa failed to win any of their last five matches and picked up just a single draw which leaves them vulnerable here.
Why it might not
  • Atlas has been inconsistent lately with two draws and two losses alongside just one win in their last five outings.
  • Playing away at Estadio Victoria is never straightforward and Atlas has also struggled to find a reliable winning run.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Necaxa comes into this fixture on a terrible scoring form which points to a clean sheet possibility.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown struggles in attack during their recent run of matches.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Necaxa the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Atlas, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Atlas travels to face Necaxa after picking up a win and a draw in their recent outings. Necaxa enters this match on a poor run with four losses and one draw from their last five fixtures.

Form and momentum

Necaxa come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Atlas come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for NCX, 27% for the draw and 35% for ATS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atlas has been inconsistent lately with two draws and two losses alongside just one win in their last five outings.
  • Playing away at Estadio Victoria is never straightforward and Atlas has also struggled to find a reliable winning run.
The bottom line

We back Atlas for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNCX +150
NCX2.50draw3.50ATS2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NCXNecaxa7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in15
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLDL
ATSAtlas7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in13
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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