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Betting tips › Europa League ›  NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 19:00 UTCGoffertstadion

NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia tips

NECNEC NijmegenDLLDL
VS
LEVLevski SofiaL
The model callNEC NijmegenMatch result1.83★★★★1 star

NEC Nijmegen play at home against Levski Sofia at the Goffertstadion in the Europa League. The hosts are priced at 1.83 to win despite a poor run of recent results.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18.3
Profit$8.3
Why it might land
  • NEC Nijmegen are playing at the Goffertstadion where the home crowd will expect a strong response after a winless run.
  • The visitors Levski Sofia come into this fixture on the back of a recent defeat which leaves their current form looking fragile.
  • Bookmakers have priced NEC Nijmegen at 1.83 to win this match which indicates clear favouritism from the odds compilers.
Why it might not
  • NEC Nijmegen arrive with a concerning run of form showing three losses and two draws in their five most recent results.
  • Levski Sofia are an unknown quantity with only a single recent result on record and could easily spring a surprise away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

With both teams struggling for momentum in front of goal it is difficult to back both sides to score.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a prolific scoring pattern in their recent results so goals might be hard to come by.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes NEC Nijmegen the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on NEC Nijmegen, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. NEC Nijmegen play at home against Levski Sofia at the Goffertstadion in the Europa League. The hosts are priced at 1.83 to win despite a poor run of recent results.

Form and momentum

NEC Nijmegen come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Levski Sofia come in poor, winning 0% of 1 on record. they have little away form banked, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for NEC, 25% for the draw and 24% for LEV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward NEC Nijmegen, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • NEC Nijmegen arrive with a concerning run of form showing three losses and two draws in their five most recent results.
  • Levski Sofia are an unknown quantity with only a single recent result on record and could easily spring a surprise away from home.
The bottom line

We back NEC Nijmegen for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNEC -120
NEC1.83draw3.85LEV4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NECNEC Nijmegen40 games on record
Won16
Drawn13
Lost11
  • Scored80and let in70
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLDL
LEVLevski Sofia1 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored0and let in1
  • On the roadno winsfrom0
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia thoughts?

The site model goes for NEC Nijmegen at 1.83 at home in the Europa League. They are on a poor run with three losses and two draws in their last five matches. Are you backing the hosts or staying clear...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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