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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  NEC Nijmegen v FC Groningen

 EredivisieSun 25 Oct 13:30 UTCGoffertstadion

NEC Nijmegen v FC Groningen tips

NECNEC NijmegenDLLDL
VS
GROFC GroningenWDDLL
The model callNEC NijmegenMatch result2.30★★★★1 star

Nijmegen play at home against Groningen in a fixture where both sides bring poor runs into the Goffertstadion. The home side gets a slight edge at two point thirty because Groningen also struggle for wins.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23
Profit$13
Why it might land
  • NEC Nijmegen play this match at home in the Goffertstadion where local supporters always create a loud atmosphere to push the team forward.
  • FC Groningen arrive in a poor run of form that includes two recent defeats in their last five matches across the league.
  • The betting market prices NEC Nijmegen to win at two point thirty which offers a fair price on the home side against struggling visitors.
Why it might not
  • NEC Nijmegen enter this fixture on a worrying winless run that shows two draws and three defeats from their last five matches.
  • FC Groningen managed a recent victory in their last five outings which proves they can still nick a result when it matters.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Defensive struggles on both sides suggest each team might find a way to score once.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show low scoring form recently so staying under the three point five line makes sense.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes NEC Nijmegen the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on NEC Nijmegen, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Nijmegen play at home against Groningen in a fixture where both sides bring poor runs into the Goffertstadion. The home side gets a slight edge at two point thirty because Groningen also struggle for wins.

Form and momentum

NEC Nijmegen come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

FC Groningen come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for NEC, 24% for the draw and 35% for GRO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • NEC Nijmegen enter this fixture on a worrying winless run that shows two draws and three defeats from their last five matches.
  • FC Groningen managed a recent victory in their last five outings which proves they can still nick a result when it matters.
The bottom line

We back NEC Nijmegen for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNEC +130
NEC2.30draw3.85GRO2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NECNEC Nijmegen40 games on record
Won16
Drawn13
Lost11
  • Scored80and let in70
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLDL
GROFC Groningen40 games on record
Won16
Drawn8
Lost16
  • Scored61and let in55
  • On the road8 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1NEC wins
0drawn
1GRO wins
  • FC Groningen 2 : 1 NEC Nijmegen10 May 2026 · Eredivisie
  • NEC Nijmegen 2 : 0 FC Groningen9 Nov 2025 · Eredivisie

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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