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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos

 J1 LeagueSun 25 Oct 05:00 UTCToyota Stadium (Japan)

Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos tips

NAGNagoya GrampusLLLLW
VS
YOKYokohama F. MarinosWDWDL
The model callYokohama F. MarinosMatch result2.80★★★★2 stars

Yokohama arrive in better shape than their hosts and offer fair value. Nagoya keep losing matches and need a sharp turnaround to stop the rot.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$56
Profit$36
Why it might land
  • Yokohama bring a solid recent run into this fixture that includes two wins and two draws from their last five outings.
  • Nagoya sit at the opposite end of confidence after suffering four defeats in their last five league matches.
  • The bookmakers offer an appealing price of 2.80 on the away win given the contrasting form of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Yokohama stumbled in their most recent match by taking a loss which shows they are not entirely foolproof.
  • Nagoya managed a win within their last five fixtures which proves they can still surprise opponents on their day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show defensive vulnerabilities across their recent results which suggests goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal line so betting on totals remains a complete guess.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nagoya Grampus the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Yokohama F. Marinos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Yokohama arrive in better shape than their hosts and offer fair value. Nagoya keep losing matches and need a sharp turnaround to stop the rot.

Form and momentum

Nagoya Grampus come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Yokohama F. Marinos come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for NAG, 27% for the draw and 33% for YOK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Yokohama stumbled in their most recent match by taking a loss which shows they are not entirely foolproof.
  • Nagoya managed a win within their last five fixtures which proves they can still surprise opponents on their day.
The bottom line

We back Yokohama F. Marinos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAG +135
NAG2.35draw3.45YOK2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NAGNagoya Grampus8 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored7and let in14
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
YOKYokohama F. Marinos7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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