Betting tips › J1 League › Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct 10:00 UTCToyota Stadium (Japan)Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka tips
Nagoya GrampusLLLLW
Cerezo OsakaDLDWLNagoya Grampus are priced at 2.45 to win at home against Cerezo Osaka despite losing four of their last five matches. That price offers enough value to back them against a struggling visiting side.
- Nagoya Grampus returns home to Toyota Stadium where they play this fixture holding a price of 2.45 to claim the three points.
- Cerezo Osaka arrives with poor recent form showing only one win from their last five matches including a loss and two draws.
- The market prices Nagoya Grampus at 2.45 which provides a decent payout for a home side desperate to turn their run around.
- Nagoya Grampus comes straight into this match on the back of four consecutive defeats which makes backing them a risky proposition.
- Cerezo Osaka has managed to avoid defeat in three of their last five outings showing they can frustrate opponents on any given day.
Both teams bring poor defensive records into this fixture which points towards goals at both ends.
Neither defence has shown any recent consistency to suggest a clean sheet is coming.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Nagoya Grampus the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Nagoya Grampus, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Nagoya Grampus are priced at 2.45 to win at home against Cerezo Osaka despite losing four of their last five matches. That price offers enough value to back them against a struggling visiting side.
Nagoya Grampus come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.
Cerezo Osaka come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 38% for NAG, 27% for the draw and 35% for CER once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Nagoya Grampus comes straight into this match on the back of four consecutive defeats which makes backing them a risky proposition.
- Cerezo Osaka has managed to avoid defeat in three of their last five outings showing they can frustrate opponents on any given day.
We back Nagoya Grampus for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Nagoya Grampus8 games on record- Scored7and let in14
- At home2 winsfrom4
- Right now4 losss in a row
Cerezo Osaka8 games on record- Scored7and let in12
- On the road0 winsfrom4
- Right now1 draw in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.