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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Nacional Asunción v 2 de Mayo

 Primera DivisionFri 18 Sept 21:30 UTCEstadio Arsenio EricoFinished

Nacional Asunción v 2 de Mayo tips

NACNacional AsunciónWLWWW
3 : 0
MAY2 de MayoLWDWD
The model callNacional AsunciónMatch result1.74★★★★2 starsWon

Nacional Asunción are in great form with four wins from their last five matches and play at home here. 2 de Mayo put up a fight but Nacional look too strong at one point seven four.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Nacional Asuncion enter this match with four wins from their last five outings which shows they hold strong momentum right now.
  • The hosts sit at a backable price of one point seven four to claim all three points on their own turf at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
  • Visitors 2 de Mayo suffered a defeat recently in their last five matches which hints at vulnerability away from home.
Why it might not
  • The visitors managed to pick up two draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can frustrate stronger opponents.
  • Two de Mayo also grabbed a win and another positive result recently so they arrive with some resilience in their squad.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

One side could keep a clean sheet given how tight some of these recent matches tend to finish.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.49Lost

The under is priced heavily at one point four nine because goals might be hard to come by.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nacional Asunción the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Nacional Asunción, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nacional Asunción are in great form with four wins from their last five matches and play at home here. 2 de Mayo put up a fight but Nacional look too strong at one point seven four.

Form and momentum

Nacional Asunción come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

2 de Mayo come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 2 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for NAC, 28% for the draw and 20% for MAY once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Nacional Asunción, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • The visitors managed to pick up two draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can frustrate stronger opponents.
  • Two de Mayo also grabbed a win and another positive result recently so they arrive with some resilience in their squad.
The bottom line

We back Nacional Asunción for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAC -135
NAC1.74draw3.20MAY4.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NACNacional Asunción5 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in1
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW
MAY2 de Mayo5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored5and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Nacional Asunción v 2 de Mayo, who are you backing?

The site model likes Nacional Asunción at 1.74 because they are in great form with four wins from their last five matches and play at home. On the other hand, the visitors picked up two draws in their...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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