Betting tips › Eerste Divisie › NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo
Eerste DivisieFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTCRat Verlegh Stadion
NAC BredaWWLLD
Heracles AlmeloWLWWWHeracles travel to Breda in strong form and look well priced to take all three points on Friday night. NAC are struggling for consistency down at the Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Both sides have shown enough in recent weeks to suggest they will find the net.
The total line sits at 3.5 goals which feels high for this matchup.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes NAC Breda the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Heracles Almelo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Heracles travel to Breda in strong form and look well priced to take all three points on Friday night. NAC are struggling for consistency down at the Rat Verlegh Stadion.
NAC Breda come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 7 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Heracles Almelo come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 40% for NAC, 26% for the draw and 33% for HER once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings NAC hold the edge with 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.
We back Heracles Almelo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
NAC Breda40 games on recordHeracles Almelo40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model fancies Heracles to win away at Breda on Friday night based on recent form and NAC having a patchy home record. Going to the Rat Verlegh Stadion is never an easy trip though. Are you ba...