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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Náutico v Operário PR

 Brazil Serie BTue 15 Sept 22:30 UTCEstádio dos AflitosFinished

Náutico v Operário PR tips

NAUNáuticoLWWDW
3 : 3
OPEOperário PRWWDDL
The model callNáuticoMatch result1.95★★★★2 starsLost

Nautico return to their home ground with a solid run of recent form behind them. Operario PR travel here after a patchy run of results which makes the home price look fair.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Nautico come into this fixture at the Estadio dos Aflitos with three wins from their last five matches in the competition.
  • The betting market prices a home win at 1.95 which offers decent value given the recent trajectory of both sides.
  • Operario PR have struggled to find consistent momentum recently and lost their most recent outing in the league.
Why it might not
  • Operario PR managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches so they are capable of causing an upset here.
  • Nautico were held to a draw recently which shows they can drop points against stubborn defensive opposition.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Both sides have had low scoring matches lately which suggests one defence might keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.77Lost

The under line is priced at 1.77 and many matches in this division are tight affairs.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Náutico the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Náutico, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nautico return to their home ground with a solid run of recent form behind them. Operario PR travel here after a patchy run of results which makes the home price look fair.

Form and momentum

Náutico come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Operário PR come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for NAU, 27% for the draw and 24% for OPE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Náutico, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Operario PR managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches so they are capable of causing an upset here.
  • Nautico were held to a draw recently which shows they can drop points against stubborn defensive opposition.
The bottom line

We back Náutico for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAU -105
NAU1.95draw3.45OPE3.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NAUNáutico5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in4
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW
OPEOperário PR5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in3
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Nautico vs Operario PR home win?

Nautico are back at home with decent recent form and the site model likes them at 1.91. Operario PR have two wins from their last five matches though so they might cause an upset. What are you all on ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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