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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian

 Scottish PremiershipSun 25 Oct 14:00 UTCFir Park

Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian tips

MOTMotherwellLLLWD
VS
HOMHeart of MidlothianDLWWW
The model callHeart of MidlothianMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Hearts arrive at Fir Park in much better form than Motherwell and the odds offer a fair price on the away win. Motherwell have struggled badly lately with three losses in a row.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Heart of Midlothian come into this fixture on the back of three straight victories in their recent results.
  • Motherwell are enduring a poor run of form having lost three matches consecutively before this game.
  • The away win is priced at 2.15 which gives a decent return for a side showing much stronger recent results.
Why it might not
  • Heart of Midlothian did manage only a draw in their most recent match which shows they can stumble.
  • Motherwell did manage a win and a draw in their five recent outings so they can occasionally pick up points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently which points towards goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices on the total goals line so it is hard to judge the value.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Heart of Midlothian the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Heart of Midlothian, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Hearts arrive at Fir Park in much better form than Motherwell and the odds offer a fair price on the away win. Motherwell have struggled badly lately with three losses in a row.

Form and momentum

Motherwell come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Heart of Midlothian come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for MOT, 26% for the draw and 44% for HOM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Heart of Midlothian, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Heart of Midlothian did manage only a draw in their most recent match which shows they can stumble.
  • Motherwell did manage a win and a draw in their five recent outings so they can occasionally pick up points.
The bottom line

We back Heart of Midlothian for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
MOT3.10draw3.60HOM2.10
SourceDraftKingsHOM +115
MOT3.10draw3.60HOM2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MOTMotherwell6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD
HOMHeart of Midlothian6 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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