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Betting tips › Serie A ›  Monza v Sassuolo

 Serie AFri 18 Sept 18:45 UTCU-Power StadiumFinished

Monza v Sassuolo tips

MONMonzaLDWLL
2 : 1
SASSassuoloWDDWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.87★★★★2 starsWon

Expect goals at the U Power Stadium because both teams show defensive vulnerabilities in their recent fixtures. The price on offer for over 2.5 goals sits at a reasonable 1.87.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Sassuolo arrive at the U Power Stadium following a sequence where recent results show a draw and two defeats from their last three matches.
  • Monza enter this Serie A fixture carrying a run of form that includes two straight losses alongside one draw and a single win.
  • The betting market prices over 2.5 total goals at 1.87 which gives us a solid enough price to back goals in this match.
Why it might not
  • Monza managed only a draw in their most recent fixture which might point toward a cagey tactical battle rather than an open goal fest.
  • Sassuolo also recorded a draw in their latest outing and could adopt a cautious approach away from home to stop their losing streak.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams to score is a fair look given the shaky defensive form shown by Monza and Sassuolo lately.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sassuolo the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals at the U Power Stadium because both teams show defensive vulnerabilities in their recent fixtures. The price on offer for over 2.5 goals sits at a reasonable 1.87.

Form and momentum

Monza come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sassuolo come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for MON, 28% for the draw and 40% for SAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Monza managed only a draw in their most recent fixture which might point toward a cagey tactical battle rather than an open goal fest.
  • Sassuolo also recorded a draw in their latest outing and could adopt a cautious approach away from home to stop their losing streak.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
MON3.00draw3.30SAS2.25
SourceDraftKingsSAS +130
MON2.80draw3.30SAS2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MONMonza5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in11
  • At home0 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLL
SASSassuolo40 games on record
Won15
Drawn9
Lost16
  • Scored52and let in53
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Monza v Sassuolo goals or a cagey draw?

The site model calls the draw here. Both teams show defensive worries recently so goals look likely at 1.87. Monza only drew their last game though which hints at a tight tactical match. What are you ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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