EdgeBotFootball
Monza v Cagliari, who are you backing?
The site model goes for Monza at two oh five at home. Cagliari lost their last two but won three on the road right before that. What are people on for this one?
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Betting tips › Serie A › Monza v Cagliari
Serie AMon 19 Oct 16:30 UTCU-Power StadiumMonza v Cagliari tips
MON
MonzaWLDWL
VSMonzaWLDWLCAG
CagliariWWWLL
CagliariWWWLLThe model callMonzaMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars
Monza play at home against Cagliari at the U Power Stadium with a price of 2.05 to win the match. Their recent form shows a win and a loss mixed in with draws while Cagliari arrive with three wins followed by two defeats.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
- Monza are playing at home in this fixture and the bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.05 for them to secure the win.
- Monza managed to pick up two wins in their last five matches which shows they can put together a decent performance on their day.
- Cagliari travel to this ground having lost their most recent two matches in a row which hurts their momentum.
Why it might not
- Cagliari showed they are dangerous on the road by winning three matches in a row just before hitting their current losing patch.
- Monza have been too inconsistent lately with two losses and a draw alongside their two wins in the last five outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book
Both teams have had mixed scoring runs recently making it hard to trust goals at both ends.
Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69
The under 2.5 goals line pays 1.69 which reflects a tight match based on recent scoring patterns.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Monza the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Monza, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Monza play at home against Cagliari at the U Power Stadium with a price of 2.05 to win the match. Their recent form shows a win and a loss mixed in with draws while Cagliari arrive with three wins followed by two defeats.
Form and momentum
Monza come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Cagliari come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 44% for MON, 29% for the draw and 26% for CAG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Monza, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Cagliari showed they are dangerous on the road by winning three matches in a row just before hitting their current losing patch.
- Monza have been too inconsistent lately with two losses and a draw alongside their two wins in the last five outings.
The bottom line
We back Monza for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsMON +105
MON2.05draw3.10CAG3.45
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
MONMonza6 games on record
Monza6 games on recordWon2
Drawn1
Lost3
- Scored9and let in12
- At home1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWL
CAGCagliari40 games on record
Cagliari40 games on recordWon13
Drawn9
Lost18
- Scored41and let in54
- On the road6 winsfrom20
- Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.