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Betting tips › Ligue 2 ›  Montpellier v Metz

 Ligue 2Sat 7 Nov 13:00 UTCStade de la Mosson

Montpellier v Metz tips

MONMontpellierDWLDW
VS
METZMetzDLWDD
The model callMontpellierMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Montpellier play at home and hold a slightly better recent run of form than Metz. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts taking all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Montpellier enter this fixture with two wins and two draws from their last five matches which shows steady momentum.
  • The hosts are priced at two point zero zero to win which gives us a fair price for a team playing on home soil.
  • Metz have managed just one win in their last five outings and that lack of winning form makes them vulnerable here.
Why it might not
  • Montpellier were held to a draw in their most recent match which proves they can stumble against stubborn opposition.
  • Metz have picked up three draws in their last five games and clearly know how to make life difficult for opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Each team has traded goals and draws across their recent fixtures pointing towards an open contest.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown plenty of low scoring draws recently so goals might be hard to come by.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Montpellier the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Montpellier, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Montpellier play at home and hold a slightly better recent run of form than Metz. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts taking all three points.

Form and momentum

Montpellier come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Metz come in poor, winning 13% of 40 on record. 1 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for MON, 28% for the draw and 25% for METZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Montpellier, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Montpellier were held to a draw in their most recent match which proves they can stumble against stubborn opposition.
  • Metz have picked up three draws in their last five games and clearly know how to make life difficult for opponents.
The bottom line

We back Montpellier for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMON +100
MON2.00draw3.30METZ3.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MONMontpellier7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDW
METZMetz40 games on record
Won5
Drawn12
Lost23
  • Scored42and let in82
  • On the road1 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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