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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Montevideo Wanderers v Albion FC

 Primera DivisionMon 28 Sept 23:00 UTCParque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo Wanderers v Albion FC tips

WANMontevideo WanderersDDLWL
VS
ALBAlbion FCLLLLL
The model callMontevideo WanderersMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

Montevideo Wanderers have a decent chance to take three points at Parque Alfredo Victor Viera on Monday against struggling opponents. Albion FC arrive on the back of five straight defeats which makes backing the home win at two decimal two zero a sensible option.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Montevideo Wanderers play at home at Parque Alfredo Victor Viera where they face a struggling side who are low on confidence.
  • Albion FC enter this fixture after suffering five consecutive losses in their recent matches which exposes deep defensive problems.
  • Montevideo Wanderers are available at a fair price of two decimal two zero in the match market given the visiting run of form.
Why it might not
  • Montevideo Wanderers have been inconsistent lately having recorded two draws one win and two losses in their last five outings.
  • Albion FC might manage to dig deep and secure a draw at three decimal zero zero to halt their terrible losing run.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams to score looks unlikely given the visiting side struggles badly to find the back of the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

Under two point five goals at one decimal six nine is tempting because neither team shows consistent scoring power.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Montevideo Wanderers the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Montevideo Wanderers, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Montevideo Wanderers have a decent chance to take three points at Parque Alfredo Victor Viera on Monday against struggling opponents. Albion FC arrive on the back of five straight defeats which makes backing the home win at two decimal two zero a sensible option.

Form and momentum

Montevideo Wanderers come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Albion FC come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for WAN, 30% for the draw and 29% for ALB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Montevideo Wanderers, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Montevideo Wanderers have been inconsistent lately having recorded two draws one win and two losses in their last five outings.
  • Albion FC might manage to dig deep and secure a draw at three decimal zero zero to halt their terrible losing run.
The bottom line

We back Montevideo Wanderers for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWAN +120
WAN2.20draw3.00ALB3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WANMontevideo Wanderers5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLWL
ALBAlbion FC5 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored4and let in11
  • On the roadno winsfrom2
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Wanderers or Albion on Monday night?

The site model goes for Montevideo Wanderers at two point two zero because Albion come here on five losses in a row. Wanderers have been a bit up and down lately with two draws and two losses in their...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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