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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Modena v Hellas Verona

 Serie BSun 11 Oct 17:30 UTCAlberto Braglia

Modena v Hellas Verona tips

MODModenaWDLWW
VS
VERHellas VeronaWLWWD
The model callModenaMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Modena bring solid home form into this clash at the Braglia and look good value to edge past Hellas Verona. The bookmakers offer a decent price on the hosts given how both sides have been performing lately.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Modena come into this fixture having won three of their last five matches in a strong run of form.
  • The hosts are priced at 1.95 to win which gives us a fair return for a team playing at home.
  • Hellas Verona have already picked up a recent defeat in their last five outings to show they are beatable.
Why it might not
  • Hellas Verona put together a respectable sequence of results including three wins from their past five matches.
  • The visitors managed a solid draw in their most recent outing which proves they can frustrate opponents on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Each team has been finding the net regularly in their recent fixtures so goals should come at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.95

Both sides show enough scoring form in their recent matches to push this past the 2.5 line at 1.95.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Modena the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Modena, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Modena bring solid home form into this clash at the Braglia and look good value to edge past Hellas Verona. The bookmakers offer a decent price on the hosts given how both sides have been performing lately.

Form and momentum

Modena come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Hellas Verona come in poor, winning 15% of 40 on record. 3 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for MOD, 28% for the draw and 25% for VER once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Modena, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Hellas Verona put together a respectable sequence of results including three wins from their past five matches.
  • The visitors managed a solid draw in their most recent outing which proves they can frustrate opponents on the road.
The bottom line

We back Modena for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMOD -105
MOD1.95draw3.30VER3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MODModena5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW
VERHellas Verona40 games on record
Won6
Drawn10
Lost24
  • Scored35and let in63
  • On the road3 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Modena or Verona tonight?

The site model fancies Modena at one point nine five given their solid home form at the Braglia. Verona have won three of their last five matches though so they will not roll over easily. What are peo...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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